Possible scenario
Control Remains Unresolved
10%
−0.5%
The election produces no immediate answer because one or more decisive races are within recount margins or depend on ranked-choice tabulation. This is a lower-probability but credible scenario given the number of close Senate races and Alaska’s counting process.
What it moves
- Finance−0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.3%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.