Possible scenario
External Spillover
15%
−0.6%
The correction could intersect with renewed US-China technology tension or global semiconductor positioning. This is less likely than domestic stabilization or deleveraging, but it would make the shock more relevant for global chip and growth stocks.
What it moves
- Technology−1.0%
- Industrials−0.4%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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