Possible scenario
Policy Support Arrives
10%
+1.0%
Taiwanese authorities respond to the record outflow with communication aimed at stabilizing confidence, potentially including public comments from the Financial Supervisory Commission or readiness from state-linked funds. Policy support limits downside but does not fully reverse foreign caution while U.S. rates remain high.
What it moves
- Technology+1.5%
- Finance+1.0%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.