Possible scenario
Iran Exploits Mediation
10%
−0.4%
Iran uses the talks to gain diplomatic leverage while continuing intelligence or weapons support to the Houthis through deniable channels. This path does not necessarily end the negotiations immediately, but it keeps Saudi Arabia and the United States skeptical of any Tehran-backed guarantees.
What it moves
- Energy+0.5%
- Consumer Services−0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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