Possible scenario
Security Leadership Crisis
20%
−0.3%
The internal dispute hardens into an open institutional confrontation over Zini’s authority and the scope of the probe. This scenario is less likely than containment but plausible given the prior turmoil over the Shin Bet leadership and Netanyahu’s earlier removal of the agency chief.
What it moves
- Finance−0.5%
- Industrials+0.5%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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