Possible scenario
Evidence Becomes Material
30%
−0.3%
Investigators find enough evidence to move the probe from intelligence assessment toward criminal or parliamentary proceedings. The most plausible evidence centers on foreign-linked financing channels, advisers, or intermediaries rather than a direct, publicly proven role by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
What it moves
- Finance−0.5%
- Industrials+0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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