An earlier Elabe poll placed Le Pen at 32% to 33% in the first round and ahead of Philippe (52.5% to 47.5%) and Glucksmann (53.5% to 46.5%) in hypothetical runoffs. Although Le Pen has led most major polling for a year, she has never won the presidency. Current conditions, including unrest and low approval for President Emmanuel Macron, are cited as factors potentially shifting her trajectory ahead of the next cycle.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Le Pen Hits 38% Record High for 2027 French Election
World7 hours ago
A new survey by IFOP and Le Figaro projects that Marine Le Pen would win 68% of the vote against Jean-Luc Mélenchon in a presidential runoff. The poll finds Le Pen with 34% to 38% support in the first round of the 2027 election, the highest level recorded for her. Edouard Philippe has seen his support fall by 6 points over three waves of polling, dropping to 15% when he is the sole centrist candidate, while analysts attribute Le Pen's latest surge to recent mob violence in France.
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