Orderly Democratic Takeover

The most likely path is that the projected House majority holds through certification and Democrats take control of statewide executive offices without a prolonged institutional crisis. Party leaders prioritize governable, high-salience issues such as Medicaid, ERCOT reliability, abortion access, school funding and ethics rules rather than immediately pursuing maximalist rewrites.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.