Whatley Comeback Win

16%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Michael Whatley overcomes the Democratic early-vote lead through strong Republican Election Day turnout and improved margins in rural and exurban counties. This is an upset relative to the current headline and would modestly lift Republican odds of holding or expanding Senate control.

What it moves

Finance+0.5%
Energy+0.5%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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