Clear Cooper Victory

54%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Roy Cooper converts the record Democratic early-vote lead into a decisive November win over Michael Whatley. The outcome reflects strong turnout in Wake, Mecklenburg, Durham, and Guilford counties, plus enough suburban support to offset Republican Election Day voting.

What it moves

Finance−0.3%
Healthcare+0.3%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?