Financial indicators for Brazilian assets are moving ahead of the result while traditional markets are closed. A 24/7 Brazil ETF perpetual contract on Hyperliquid rose approximately 4% on Saturday to $44.30, compared to the $42.60 close of the EWZ ETF on Friday. In Brasília, electoral workers have begun testing voting machines and establishing polling stations for the runoff.
Sunday, October 25, 2026
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Prediction Markets Price Flávio Bolsonaro as Heavy Favorite for Brazil's Presidential Runoff
Global Markets10 hours ago
Brazil votes Sunday in a presidential runoff between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula da Silva, with prediction markets identifying Bolsonaro as the strong favorite. Kalshi currently prices Bolsonaro's odds of winning at 84%, up from roughly 78% on Friday, while Polymarket puts the probability at 82.8%. Traders on the Kalshi platform forecast a victory margin of 3.4% for Bolsonaro.
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