The province of Sistan-Baluchestan has seen approximately 70 armed confrontations this year, the highest annual total in at least a decade according to ACLED. International Crisis Group analyst Hamidreza Azizi warns that the escalation near the Makran coast threatens the security of Chabahar, Iran's only oceanic port. While some analysts allege unverified support for the insurgency from Israel or Gulf states, others cite domestic grievances following a 2022 crackdown on protesters in Zahedan.
