Possible scenario
Likud Escalates Challenge
20%
−0.4%
Likud and allied right-wing factions refuse to accept the committee’s decision as final and intensify claims that Arab parties benefited from foreign money. The institutional process still favors certification, but public confidence deteriorates and street-level mobilization increases.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.1%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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