Possible scenario
US Admits Flávio
45%
−0.3%
The most likely path is that US authorities allow Flávio Bolsonaro to enter and begin an asylum or immigration protection process, despite Brazil’s passport cancellation. Brazil protests formally, but both governments initially keep the dispute in legal and diplomatic channels.
What it moves
- Finance−0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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