Possible scenario
Texas GOP Reckoning
18%
−0.1%
Texas Republicans turn inward after spending political capital on a map that fails to deliver the promised seats. The focus shifts to candidate recruitment, turnout operations in suburban districts, and whether the map unintentionally packed or mobilized Democratic voters.
What it moves
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.