Possible scenario
Extended Count Delay
−0.2%
The 8:15 p.m. statewide release deadline is met technically, but several affected counties lag in uploading precinct-level data. Election officials attribute the slowdown to poll-book reconciliation and ballot-scanner reporting issues rather than evidence of tampering.
What it moves
- Finance−0.2%
- Technology−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.