Possible scenario
Council Deadlock Persists
13%
0.0%
The first poll may simply confirm that the race remains fragmented after the permanent members vetoed the earlier field. If no candidate can clear the P5 veto threshold, the Council could drift toward a late procedural solution.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.