The confirmation follows analysis from Barclays that a merger announcement could occur before Tesla's Dec 6 annual general meeting, and prediction market Kalshi recently priced a 67% chance of a deal before February 2027. One proposed structure would involve an all-stock acquisition of Tesla by SpaceX, providing Tesla shareholders with approximately 0.7 SpaceX shares per Tesla share. Such a deal would leave Musk with roughly 37% of the combined company's ownership and 56% of its voting power.
