Coalition Crisis Deepens

20%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

A sharper political crisis is possible if new documents or testimony suggest the probe was deliberately constrained. Coalition partners could demand explanations, while opposition leaders use the Qatar angle to argue Netanyahu has a conflict of interest on Gaza policy.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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