Possible scenario
Security Cabinet Compromise
10%
−0.2%
A security flare-up or diplomatic deadline leads parties to cooperate on defense and emergency legislation without forming a full Netanyahu-Eisenkot unity government. This path is less likely but credible given Israel’s wartime political backdrop and Eisenkot’s prior role in the war cabinet.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.6%
- Consumer Services−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Oil prices
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