Possible scenario
Netanyahu Finds Majority
22%
−0.2%
Netanyahu overcomes the 53-seat shortfall by drawing defectors, small right-wing factions, or independents into a narrow coalition. This is less likely than an Eisenkot mandate succeeding or a stalemate, but Netanyahu’s long record of coalition maneuvering keeps the path viable.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.3%
- Finance−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Oil prices
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.