GOP Retains Firewall

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democrats’ red-state breakthroughs are historic but not enough to guarantee Senate control. Republicans offset the losses with holds or pickups elsewhere, limiting the immediate policy impact of Talarico’s and Andrews’s wins.

What it moves

Energy+0.9%
Finance+0.5%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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