Control Remains Uncalled

12%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The late ad blitz helps make several GOP-held seats too close to call, delaying a clear House majority. California mail ballots, Pennsylvania provisional ballots, and possible recounts keep both parties claiming paths to 218.

What it moves

Finance−0.5%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.3%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?