Possible scenario
Orderly Gridlock
42%
+0.3%
Democrats take control of both chambers but lack veto-proof margins, making divided government the dominant operating model. Markets treat the result as mostly anticipated after late polling and Senate forecasts, with modest relief that fiscal expansion and tariff escalation face congressional checks.
What it moves
- Utilities+0.7%
- Healthcare+0.5%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
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