Paxton Contains Fallout

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Paxton’s team may successfully frame the scandal as an outside-vendor controversy rather than campaign misconduct. The lawyer’s involvement gives the LLC a more disciplined legal strategy, slowing disclosures and keeping the story largely inside Texas political media.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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