Official Containment

17%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Chinese officials avoid elevating the issue into a formal diplomatic dispute, leaving the response to broadcasters, sponsors, and sports figures. This caps the fallout while allowing nationalist commentary to continue online.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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