Limited Ceasefire Framework
+0.6%
A less likely but plausible outcome is a narrow framework covering a temporary ceasefire, prisoner exchanges, energy infrastructure restraint, or monitoring mechanisms. It avoids a final territorial settlement but gives Trump, Zelensky, and Putin a way to claim diplomatic progress.
What it moves
- Finance+0.8%
- Technology+0.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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