Meeting Slips or Fails

The announced meeting is postponed, downgraded, or abandoned because the parties cannot agree on agenda language, security arrangements, or territorial preconditions. This outcome is credible because Putin’s demand for all of Donbas directly conflicts with Zelenskyy’s front-line-freeze position.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.