Possible scenario
Democratic sweep confirmed
62%
+0.1%
The DDHQ forecast proves broadly accurate, with Democrats taking both chambers by narrow margins. This is the baseline because late generic-ballot and toss-up-district data showed a consistent Democratic edge before Election Day.
What it moves
- Healthcare−0.9%
- Energy−0.6%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.