Possible scenario
Liquidity Disappointment Deepens
10%
−2.0%
Investors become concerned that the swap operation is too small, too narrowly targeted, or unattractive once haircuts and collateral eligibility are assessed. This is the low-probability downside path in which a policy backstop fails to stop near-term deleveraging.
What it moves
- Technology−2.9%
- Finance−1.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.