The latest numbers represent a reversal of an AARP poll from Sept. 20 to Sept. 22 that placed Jackson in the lead at 50% to 47%. On the Kalshi prediction market, traders forecasted Jackson as the winner by a 1.3% margin on Sept. 27, although Collins' win probability on the platform rose to 41% that day despite Democratic gains in other Senate races. The most recent figures were provided by a Republican pollster.
