Possible scenario
Jackson Comeback Victory
34% Chance
Troy Jackson benefits from Democratic consolidation after Platner's exit and frames the race around wages, unions, health care, and Collins' long Washington tenure. A close October poll becomes the basis for a late Democratic surge rather than a ceiling.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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