Race Remains Toss-Up

12%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The $55 million spend saturates Ohio media but does not fundamentally change voter preferences. Both parties keep treating the seat as one of the decisive Senate contests of 2026, with limited immediate market read-through.

What it moves

Bitcoin▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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