Possible scenario
Liquidity Stress Emerges
15%
−1.6%
The prolonged selloff exposes leverage and liquidity problems among brokerages, structured products or wealth-management vehicles. This is less likely than policy support or an orderly decline, but the 12-week losing streak raises the risk of forced deleveraging.
What it moves
- Finance−2.5%
- Technology−2.0%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.