Possible scenario
Recount Fight
10%
−0.2%
The Democratic defections make the race extremely close, and delayed absentee counts in Wayne County and Oakland County keep the winner unclear. Both parties send legal teams to Michigan, creating short-lived uncertainty over Senate control.
What it moves
- Finance−0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.