Selective Financing Reopens

28%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.8%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Musk’s warning prompts lenders and sponsors to restructure deals rather than abandon AI infrastructure lending. New transactions rely on more equity, shorter GPU depreciation schedules, stronger customer contracts, and partial corporate guarantees.

What it moves

Technology+1.5%
Finance+0.4%
Industrials+0.3%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?