Possible scenario
Orderly Deleveraging Continues
40%
−1.4%
The most likely path is a controlled reduction in risk by long-short and multi-strategy funds after losses in crowded technology and momentum trades. Selling remains visible, but prime brokers and funding markets absorb it without a systemic break.
What it moves
- Technology−2.0%
- Consumer Cyclicals−1.3%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.