Prediction markets suggest a high likelihood of the incumbent losing his seat. Data from Polymarket currently lists a 71% chance that Van Orden will be ousted from Congress in the upcoming election.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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US Politics19 days ago
Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden used artificial intelligence to create synthetic videos of his Democratic opponent in a bid for re-election in Wisconsin's 3rd District. Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke issued a cease-and-desist letter to stop the use of these campaign ads, which depict Cooke making statements she never actually made.

Prediction markets suggest a high likelihood of the incumbent losing his seat. Data from Polymarket currently lists a 71% chance that Van Orden will be ousted from Congress in the upcoming election.
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Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.