Possible scenario
Fiscal Brinkmanship
10%
−0.3%
The blocking strategy evolves into a sharper confrontation over appropriations, debt-limit mechanics, and the fiscal terms of Trump’s agenda. This is less likely than ordinary gridlock, but it carries the largest near-term market risk if deadlines approach without a deal.
What it moves
- Business Services−0.3%
- Consumer Services−0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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