Possible scenario
Extraordinary Election Dispute
−0.2%
A rare escalation occurs if certification is blocked, a county’s results are questioned, or courts disagree over ballot standards. This remains unlikely, but the 65-vote margin makes an unusually contentious post-election process possible.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.