Becerra Narrow Win

Hilton narrows the gap by attacking cost of living, housing, crime, and one-party rule in Sacramento, but Becerra still prevails. This scenario becomes plausible if undecided and lower-propensity voters break Republican late, though the initial 54%-36% poll leaves Hilton with a steep climb.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.