Raman, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America, currently leads Bass in an FM3 Research poll of likely voters 39% to 35%. Kalshi prediction markets give Raman a 57% chance of victory compared to 42% for Bass, whose popularity has dipped following the Palisades Fire. A BerkeleyIGS and LA Times survey shows Raman holding a 45% to 21% lead among Latino voters, with 34% of that group undecided.
