Possible scenario
Bass Comeback Holds
32% Chance
Karen Bass recovers from the October polling deficit by leaning on incumbency, labor support, and arguments that Raman's housing and public-safety plans are untested. The rally confrontation motivates Bass supporters and helps her frame Raman as too confrontational for City Hall.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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