Possible scenario
Cooper Becomes Favorite
48% Chance
The Senate Leadership Fund’s retreat confirms that internal Republican polling has Michael Whatley trailing Roy Cooper by enough to make North Carolina a poor use of late money. Cooper consolidates Democratic donors, keeps suburban margins high, and becomes the clear favorite to flip Thom Tillis’s open seat.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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