Institutional Adoption Accelerates

45%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Kalshi’s reported $6 billion annualized fee revenue run rate validates prediction markets as a large institutional trading category. Hedge funds, market makers, and macro desks expand usage because legal clarity, liquidity, and broker access have improved in quick succession.

What it moves

Finance+0.7%
Technology+0.4%
Business Services+0.2%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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