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Tuesday, October 20, 2026

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Saga

State and federal scrutiny of prediction markets

Overview

Description Prediction markets face scrutiny over whether event contracts are derivatives, gambling products or both as controversial markets draw attention. Overview New York sued Polymarket, while Ohio and Michigan actions targeted sports event contracts on several platforms. The CFTC advanced swap-rule filings as courts weighed…

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State and federal scrutiny of prediction markets

Stories in this saga

31 stories, 51 sources

Sep 21, 2026
Polymarket CEO Told Staff to Pay Fines Over $10 Million Card Fraud
- Polymarket CEO Told Staff to Pay Regulatory Fines After $10 Million Fraud29 days ago

Sep 24, 2026

11 Senate Banking Democrats Demand Public Hearing After Kalshi GOP Meeting

11 Senate Banking Democrats Demand Public Hearing After Kalshi GOP Meeting

Sep 25, 2026

New York and Polymarket Sue Each Other Over Gambling Laws

New York and Polymarket Sue Each Other Over Gambling Laws

New York Sues Polymarket for Running Illegal Gambling Operation26 days ago
NY AG Sues Polymarket in 2nd Prediction Market Case26 days ago

Sep 25, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket Combined Trading Volume More Than Doubles in 2 Months

Kalshi and Polymarket Combined Trading Volume More Than Doubles in 2 Months

Sep 28, 2026

Polymarket Debuts 15 Minute Crypto Markets for US Users

Polymarket Debuts 15 Minute Crypto Markets for US Users

Sep 29, 2026

Polymarket Hires Goldman Sachs Partner to Attract Wall Street Liquidity

Polymarket Hires Goldman Sachs Partner to Attract Wall Street Liquidity

Sep 29, 2026

Comer Adds Crypto.com to House Insider Trading Probe

Comer Adds Crypto.com to House Insider Trading Probe

Comer Probe Cites Tariff Leak in Hyperliquid Insider Trading Case21 days ago
House Oversight Expands Insider Trading Probe to Hyperliquid and PredictIt21 days ago

Sep 29, 2026

CFTC Probes Adam Kinzinger for Kalshi Trades on Biden Pardon

CFTC Probes Adam Kinzinger for Kalshi Trades on Biden Pardon

Sep 30, 2026

CFTC Files 2 Rules to Classify Event Contracts as Swaps After Kalshi Ruling

CFTC Files 2 Rules to Classify Event Contracts as Swaps After Kalshi Ruling

CFTC Classifies Event Contracts as Swaps in New Rule Filings20 days ago
Sixth Circuit Rules Against Kalshi to Deepen 2 to 1 Circuit Split25 days ago

Oct 2, 2026

Illinois Federal Court Blocks State Action Against Coinbase and Kalshi

Illinois Federal Court Blocks State Action Against Coinbase and Kalshi

Oct 4, 2026

Polymarket Execs Cut Anti Fraud Tools During Attack per WSJ

Polymarket Execs Cut Anti Fraud Tools During Attack per WSJ

Oct 6, 2026

Rep. Don Davis Introduces Ban on Candidates Trading Their Own Election Contracts

Rep. Don Davis Introduces Ban on Candidates Trading Their Own Election Contracts

Oct 6, 2026

PrizePicks Suspends Missouri Team Predictions

PrizePicks Suspends Missouri Team Predictions

Oct 6, 2026

Coinbase Relaunches Coinbase Pro via Deribit Integration

Coinbase Relaunches Coinbase Pro via Deribit Integration

Coinbase Debuts Live Crypto Price Prediction Markets14 days ago

Oct 7, 2026

Kalshi Files for 24 5 Oil Perps After CME Plan Withdrawal

Kalshi Files for 24 5 Oil Perps After CME Plan Withdrawal

CME Group Withdraws Filing for 10 Barrel Oil Futures18 days ago

Oct 7, 2026

Ohio Issues 10 Cease and Desist Orders to Prediction Markets Including Robinhood

Ohio Issues 10 Cease and Desist Orders to Prediction Markets Including Robinhood

Kalshi Bypasses State Gambling Bans by Claiming Not a Gambling Operator18 days ago
Coinbase Stops Michigan Sports Event Contracts After Robinhood and Kalshi13 days ago

Oct 8, 2026

Seminole Tribe Sues DraftKings and CEO Over Exclusive Florida Betting License

Seminole Tribe Sues DraftKings and CEO Over Exclusive Florida Betting License

Oct 8, 2026

National Council on Problem Gambling Implodes After $2M Kalshi Gift

National Council on Problem Gambling Implodes After $2M Kalshi Gift

Oct 8, 2026

Kalshi Longshot Betting Exceeds 65% of Trading Volume

Kalshi Longshot Betting Exceeds 65% of Trading Volume

Oct 8, 2026

NFL Joins 39 States in Asking Court to Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling

NFL Joins 39 States in Asking Court to Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling

Native American Tribes Join NFL in Battle to Regulate Prediction Markets12 days ago
39 States Petition Supreme Court to Regulate Prediction Markets as Gambling13 days ago
NFL Urges Fast Supreme Court Decision on Prediction Market Gambling12 days ago

Oct 9, 2026

NBA Commissioner Requests Prediction Market Data to Detect Manipulation

NBA Commissioner Requests Prediction Market Data to Detect Manipulation

Oct 9, 2026

CFTC Proposes Swap Rule to Claim Exclusive Prediction Market Oversight

CFTC Proposes Swap Rule to Claim Exclusive Prediction Market Oversight

CFTC Excludes Casino and Sportsbook Wagers From Swap Definition11 days ago

Oct 10, 2026

Kalshi Requests Sixth Circuit Rehearing Using New CFTC Swap Rules

Kalshi Requests Sixth Circuit Rehearing Using New CFTC Swap Rules

Oct 12, 2026

US Public Rejects Election Betting in Reuters Ipsos Poll

US Public Rejects Election Betting in Reuters Ipsos Poll

Oct 13, 2026

Alabama-Quassarte Rival Faction Calls Kalshi Deal Illegal Gambling

Alabama-Quassarte Rival Faction Calls Kalshi Deal Illegal Gambling

4 Native American Tribes Break Ranks to Launch Kalshi Prediction Apps13 days ago

Oct 14, 2026

Kalshi Implements Fines for Harassing Athletes

Kalshi Implements Fines for Harassing Athletes

Oct 15, 2026

Kalshi Launches My Ballot Tool for Local Election Trading

Kalshi Launches My Ballot Tool for Local Election Trading

Oct 17, 2026

FIFA Prediction Market Partner Volume Is Nearly All Circular Trading

FIFA Prediction Market Partner Volume Is Nearly All Circular Trading

Traders Exchange $600M in Polymarket Zombie Election Markets5 days ago

Oct 20, 2026

US Lawmakers Condemn Polymarket for Defending Cornell Rape Case Bets

US Lawmakers Condemn Polymarket for Defending Cornell Rape Case Bets

Polymarket Deletes Cornell Rape Case Bets After Celebrity Backlash1 day ago

Oct 20, 2026

Utah Sues Kalshi and Susquehanna in First Action Against Market Makers

Utah Sues Kalshi and Susquehanna in First Action Against Market Makers

Crypto.com and Novig Sue Missouri Over Sports Market Jurisdiction2 days ago

Oct 20, 2026

Elon Musk Lawyer Alex Spiro Joins Polymarket Board to Manage Operations

Elon Musk Lawyer Alex Spiro Joins Polymarket Board to Manage Operations

Polymarket Investors Demand Management Changes From CEO Shayne Coplan11 hours ago

In this saga

Kalshi Polymarket Commodity Futures Trading Commission Coinbase Ohio Shayne Coplan United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit United States

Portfolio

SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
100%

Possible scenarios

40%Compliance Turnaround+0.3%
25%Regulatory Crackdown-0.3%
20%Funding Breakthrough+0.3%

For information only. Not investment advice.

Mapped to your portfolio

Sep 15, 2026Today

+3.3%-0.8%