Possible scenario
Urban Losses Escalate
18% Chance
A wind shift drives flames into more densely populated wildland-urban interface areas around San Juan Capistrano, Dana Point, or San Clemente. The event becomes a meaningful California wildfire-loss story for insurers and utilities, though not a national macro shock.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.0%
- Finance -0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- EIX-5.1%
- MCY-3.6%
- SRE-2.9%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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