Possible scenario
Containment Improves Quickly
45% Chance
Cal Fire and Orange County Fire Authority crews benefit from lighter winds, expanded air drops, and defensible space around neighborhoods near San Juan Capistrano. Evacuation orders are reduced within 24-48 hours and the fire remains a localized disaster with limited market relevance.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- EIX+0.2%
- SRE+0.1%
- MCY+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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