Possible scenario
Fire Expands Moderately
30% Chance
Gusty conditions return and the Norte Fire expands into nearby brush and canyon areas, forcing continued evacuations and intermittent road closures. The damage remains serious locally but is still too small to move national macro indicators.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.5%
- Finance -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- EIX-2.4%
- MCY-1.8%
- SRE-1.3%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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