Contained Interception Cycle

The most likely outcome is a continuation of the current pattern: Houthis attempt symbolic long-range drone launches, while Saudi air defenses intercept them before impact. Riyadh avoids a major ground or air escalation, but raises security around Mecca, Jeddah, Riyadh, and critical infrastructure.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.